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Playtech hits €300m EBITDA target as US growth offsets Brazil, UK tax hits

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Playtech hits €300m EBITDA target as US growth offsets Brazil, UK tax hits

Financial Update and Market Context

Playtech Plc, a gambling technology group listed on the London Stock Exchange, has updated its financial outlook for the current fiscal year. The company expects to close 2026 with an adjusted EBITDA of €300m (£270m). This projection exceeds the previously held analyst consensus, signaling strong performance despite significant regulatory headwinds in key markets.

Mor Weizer, Chief Executive Officer of Playtech, stated that the company has continued to deliver excellent performance in 2026 to date. This momentum is largely attributed to sustained growth in regulated markets, particularly within the Americas. Weizer noted that performance in the United States, driven by the company’s partnership with Hard Rock Digital, has remained strong. This US operation has contributed significantly to profitability and cash flow, while Mexico and Colombia have also benefited from tailwinds following the Men’s FIFA World Cup.

Brazil Ban and UK Taxation

Two major regulatory developments have shaped Playtech’s recent operational environment. In Brazil, President Lula da Silva imposed a federal ban on online gambling. Licensed operators in the country were given until 5 October to close their platforms. The ban is currently subject to deliberation in the Supreme Federal Court (STF). Playtech states it has absorbed the three-month impact of the Brazil shutdown on its 2026 EBITDA. However, the company warned that it expects a more significant impact if the ban remains in place. Potential outcomes for the legislation include rejection by the STF or amendment in Congress.

In the United Kingdom, the Remote Gaming Duty (RGD) rate increased from 21% to 40% on 1 April 2026. Playtech indicated that it has absorbed the full impact of this tax increase on its 2026 financial results. The company noted that two additional UK tax hikes are also coming into effect, though the specific details of these future measures were not detailed in the update.

US Growth and Future Outlook

The United States remains a critical growth driver for Playtech. The company’s Past Motor Racing (PMR) product, a historical racing-based slots offering, is provided exclusively through the Hard Rock Bet platform in Florida. This exclusive arrangement has contributed to reported US revenue growth across the second half of 2026. While specific revenue figures were not published, the company emphasized the strength of its position in regulating and regulated markets.

Looking ahead to 2027, Weizer said the company expects performance to reflect growing competition from third-party PMR suppliers in the US. Additionally, 2027 results will account for political and regulatory developments in Brazil and the first full-year impact of the increased Remote Gaming Duty in the UK. Playtech’s Q1 2027 results will specifically reflect the impact of clients’ full withdrawals from the Brazilian market.

Despite these challenges, Playtech remains confident in the underlying strength of its business. The company holds a 30.8% equity stake in Mexican gaming operator Caliente, further solidifying its presence in the region. Weizer expressed confidence in the significant opportunities ahead as Playtech continues to expand its presence in regulated markets and works towards the top end of its medium-term targets.

Why It Matters

Playtech’s reliance on US and Latin American growth to offset losses from the Brazilian ban and UK tax hikes illustrates the shifting risk landscape for global gaming suppliers. Investors and industry partners must monitor the Supreme Federal Court’s ruling and UK fiscal changes, as these factors will directly determine Playtech’s profitability in 2027. The company’s ability to absorb these shocks while maintaining above-consensus EBITDA targets highlights the importance of diversified market exposure in the current regulatory climate.

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